Monday, October 14, 2013

Strongest Indian cyclone since 1999 nears coast

This image provided by the U.S. Naval Research Lab shows Indian Cyclone Phailin taken Friday Oct. 11, 2013 at 6:32 a.m. EDT (10:32 GMT). Officials ordered tens of thousands of coastal villagers to flee their homes Friday as a massive cyclone _ so large it filled nearly the entire Bay of Bengal _ gathered strength and headed toward India's eastern seaboard. The Indian Meteorological Department warned that Phailin was a "very severe cyclonic storm" that was expected to hit with maximum sustained winds of 210-220 kilometers (130-135 miles) per hour. Forecasters are saying Cyclone Phailin will hit the region Saturday evening. (AP Photo/Naval Research Lab)







This image provided by the U.S. Naval Research Lab shows Indian Cyclone Phailin taken Friday Oct. 11, 2013 at 6:32 a.m. EDT (10:32 GMT). Officials ordered tens of thousands of coastal villagers to flee their homes Friday as a massive cyclone _ so large it filled nearly the entire Bay of Bengal _ gathered strength and headed toward India's eastern seaboard. The Indian Meteorological Department warned that Phailin was a "very severe cyclonic storm" that was expected to hit with maximum sustained winds of 210-220 kilometers (130-135 miles) per hour. Forecasters are saying Cyclone Phailin will hit the region Saturday evening. (AP Photo/Naval Research Lab)







Indian villagers look at the Bay of Bengal in Gokhurkuda, in Ganjam district , 215 kilometers (136 miles) from the eastern Indian city of Bhubaneswar, India, Friday, Oct. 11, 2013. The Indian Meteorological Department warned that a massive cyclone Phailin was a "very severe cyclonic storm" that was expected to hit India’s eastern seaboard with maximum sustained winds of 210-220 kilometers (130-135 miles) per hour. (AP Photo/Biswaranjan Rout)







Indian fishermen try to balance their boat as they pull it out from the Bay of Bengal at Gokhurkuda in Ganjam district 215 kilometers (136 miles) away from the eastern Indian city of Bhubaneswar, India, Friday, Oct. 11, 2013. The Indian Meteorological Department warned that a massive cyclone Phailin was a "very severe cyclonic storm" that was expected to hit India’s eastern seaboard with maximum sustained winds of 210-220 kilometers (130-135 miles) per hour. (AP Photo/Biswaranjan Rout)







A young Indian boy sits on an anchored boat at the Bay of Bengal coast in Gokhurkuda in Ganjam district 215 kilometers (136 miles) away from the eastern Indian city of Bhubaneswar, India, Friday, Oct. 11, 2013. The Indian Meteorological Department warned that a massive cyclone Phailin was a "very severe cyclonic storm" that was expected to hit India’s eastern seaboard with maximum sustained winds of 210-220 kilometers (130-135 miles) per hour. (AP Photo/Biswaranjan Rout)







An Indian man holds on to his umbrella as he fishes in high tide waves at Gopalpur beach, in Ganjam district, 215 kilometers (136 miles) away from the eastern Indian city of Bhubaneswar, India, Friday, Oct. 11, 2013. The Indian Meteorological Department warned that a massive cyclone Phailin was a "very severe cyclonic storm" that was expected to hit India’s eastern seaboard with maximum sustained winds of 210-220 kilometers (130-135 miles) per hour. (AP Photo/Biswaranjan Rout)







(AP) — The strongest cyclone to threaten India in more than a decade bore down on its east coast Saturday as authorities bused and trucked tens of thousands of villagers from their mud and thatch coastal homes to government shelters inland.

Officials canceled holy day celebrations and stockpiled emergency supplies in coastal Orissa and Andhra Pradesh states, with forecasters saying Cyclone Phailin, a massive storm that nearly covers the Bay of Bengal, will hit the region Saturday evening.

The Indian Meteorological Department warned that Phailin was a "very severe cyclonic storm" that was expected to hit with maximum sustained winds of 210-220 kilometers (130-135 miles) per hour.

However, the U.S. Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center in Hawaii forecast maximum sustained winds of 269 kilometers (167 miles) per hour with gusts up to 315 kilometers (196 miles) per hour.

U.S. meteorologists said the storm is flirting with historic power.

"If it's not a record it's really, really close," University of Miami hurricane researcher Brian McNoldy told The Associated Press. "You really don't get storms stronger than this anywhere in the world ever. This is the top of the barrel."

To compare to killer U.S. storms, McNoldy said Phailin is near the size of 2005's Hurricane Katrina, which killed 1,200 people and caused devastating flooding in New Orleans, but Phailin also has the wind power of 1992's Hurricane Andrew, which had 165 mph (265 kph) winds at landfall in Miami.

The storm shows no sign of weakening and has an impressive eye, said Ryan Maue of the private weather firm Weather Bell. He called it a "critically dangerous situation with a rare Category 5 landfall," which he said in that region has a history of being catastrophic.

Category 5 storms have winds exceeding 155 mph.

If the storm continues on its current path without weakening, it is expected to cause large-scale power and communications outages and shut down road and rail links, officials said. There would also be extensive damage to crops.

Satellite images of the storm showed its spinning tails reaching nearly 1,600 kilometers (1,000 miles) from the east coast of India to the west coast of Myanmar, an area roughly the size of France.

Using trucks and buses, authorities evacuated 40,000 people from 40 villages to government-run shelters, schools and buildings in five districts of Orissa state, said Surya Narayan Patra, the state revenue and disaster management minister.

Patra said officials plan to take another 100,000 people to safer areas before the cyclone hits.

"No one will be allowed to stay in mud and thatched houses in the coastal areas," he said.

The government also began evacuating 64,000 people from the low-lying areas of three vulnerable districts in neighboring Andhra Pradesh state, said state Revenue Minister N. Raghuveera Reddy.

Officials have been stockpiling emergency food supplies, and setting up shelters for people expected to flee the heavy winds and rains. The Indian air force said four transport planes and 18 helicopters were being kept ready for relief operations in the region.

Weather forecasters had been predicting waves up to 2 meters (7 feet), but warned that the storm has been gaining strength and its impact could be severe.

What makes this storm so fearsome is that there's no wind shear to weaken it and the water that is fueling it is warm and deep, McNoldy said. Those are the ingredients for a record storm.

The Bay of Bengal has been the scene of some of the deadliest storms in recent history. A 1999 Orissa cyclone of similar strength killed 10,000 people.

This storm could get as deadly, but the region Phailin is aiming at is not quite as low lying, so that's something that might lessen its death toll, said Jeff Masters, meteorology director at the private Weather Underground.

"This is as bad as it gets," said Masters, who used to fly into hurricanes. "This is a top end Category 5 cyclone. You don't get these very often."

___

Associated Press writer Seth Borenstein contributed to this report from Washington, D.C.

Associated PressSource: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/cae69a7523db45408eeb2b3a98c0c9c5/Article_2013-10-11-AS-India-Cyclone/id-44cc10497c1b440fb0fd44ad30e46a11
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